Bovada FREE NBA Play of the Day 5-28-2018

Did you play the Cavaliers last night on the money line as we suggested? If you did you made cash with the Flash. For today’s Bovada FREE Play of the Day we will stay with the NBA and focus our attention on the Golden State Warriors visiting the Houston Rockets.

Game sevens are supposed to be exciting. This one should be and I suspect most won’t be making a decision until they hear whether or not Rockets guard Chris Paul will be suiting up. According to Rockets Head Coach Mike D’Antoni Paul is a “game time” decision.

Tonight’s game opened with the Warriors as a 4.5 point favorite. That line has moved to 6.0 points and is currently Warriors -6.5 at Bovada.

The money line opened with the Warriors -210 and has moved anywhere from -250 to -270. At Bovada the Warriors are -240. The Rockets opened at +190 and has moved anywhere from +210 to +225. At Bovada the Rockets are +200.

The total opened at 210  and depending on the book is 208 to 210. At Bovada the total currently sits at 208.

Injury Breakdown

Game sevens are supposed to be exciting. This one should be and I suspect most won’t be making a decision until they hear whether or not Rockets guard Chris Paul will be suiting up. According to Rockets Head Coach Mike D’Antoni Paul is a “game time” decision.

The Rockets are 16-10 this season in games when Paul sits. Only five of those wins have come against playoff teams. Some of their losses in Paul’s absence include Philadelphia, Toronto, Oklahoma City, Boston and San Antonio. All but one of those losses were on the road.

Warriors glue guy Andre Iguodala is listed as out tonight. The Warriors are just 13-10 when Iguodala sits. Six of those losses came in road games to playoff teams.

Trends

  • Golden State is 32-16 as the visiting team on the money line
  • Houston is 41-9 as the home team on the money line
  • Golden State is 25-42-1 against the spread after a win, 21-27 against the spread as the away team and 19-22 against the spread as the visiting favorite
  • Houston is 22-27-1 against the spread 10-11 after a loss, 22-27-1 against the spread as the home team and 1-1 against the spread as the home underdog
  • Golden State is 20-21 in road games when they are the favorite and finish under the total 51.2 percent of the time
  • Houston is 1-1 in home games when they are the underdog with one game going over and the other going under the total

Prediction

Give up the 6.5 points and play the Warriors tonight.

On this week’s Phil Naessens Show I discuss the Conference Finals as well as the All NBA Teams announced Thursday and much more.

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