Did you play the Warriors last night as we suggested? If you did you made money. We have a couple of days before the NBA Finals so we will look to MLB tonight for our Bovada FREE MLB Play of the Day.
The Milwaukee Brewers are enjoying a four game winning streak. Tonight they host the St Louis Cardinals. Zach Davies takes the hill for the Brewers, the Cardinals counter with Michael Wacha.
Both teams are currently -110 on the money line at Bovada and the total is nine runs.
Zach Davies is 1-2 at home this season with a home ERA of 4.50 and xFIP of 4.17. Davies is walking less than three hitters and allowing less than one home run per nine innings pitched. At home Davies allows hitters a .288 BABIP and strikes out 19 percent of the hitters he faces.
Michael Wacha is 1-1 on the road this season with a road ERA of 4.60 and xFIP of 4.26. Wacha is walking 3.45 hitters and allowing 1.15 home runs per nine innings on the road. On the road Wacha allows hitters a .239 BABIP and strikes out 17.9 percent of the hitters he faces.
The Brewers mash right handed pitching; the boast a .179 team ISO, .318 BABIP and wRC+ of 108. They also strike out 23 percent of the time with a 8.8 percent walk rate against right handed pitching.
The Cardinals are a middle of the pack offense against right handed pitching. They have a .147 team ISO, .301 BABIP and wRC+ of 101. They also strike out 22.2 percent of the time with an 8.6 percent walk rate against right handed pitching.
The Cardinals appear to have the fresher arms tonight but looks can be deceiving. Cardinals closer Bud Norris has thrown 20 pitches over the past three days. The Brewers have two pretty good closers; Josh Hader hasn’t thrown a pitch in the past three days and Corey Knebel has thrown 19 pitches over the past three days.
Play the Brewers on the money line tonight.
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Good luck tonight.