Did you play the Rockies last night as we suggested? If you did you lost money but overall we are still beating the books.. Today we will go to the MLB tonight for our Bovada FREE MLB Play of the Day.
The Chicago Cubs visit the New York Mets tonight. Jose Quintana is on the hill for the Cubs and Seth Lugo takes the ball for the Mets.
The Cubs are heavily favored at -164, the Mets are +142 on the money line at Bovada and the total is 8 runs.
Lugo has pitched just 17 innings at home with an ERA of 1.59 and xFIP of 3.20. Lugo walks 1.06 and allows 1.08 home runs per nine innings pitched. In the friendly confines of Citi Field hitters have a .267 BABIP and Lugo whiffs 24.6 percent of the hitters he faces at home.
Quintana has pitched 28.1 innings on the road with a 3.18 ERA and 4.52 xFIP. Quintana walks 4.76 and allows less than one home run per nine innings pitched. Home team hitters against Quintana have a .267 BABIP and strikeout rate of 21.7 percent.
The Mets are the worst team in baseball against left handed pitching. The boast a .097 ISO, .285 BABIP and wRC+ of 73 against lefties. The Mets strikeout at a 25.6 percent clip with a 10 percent walk rate against left handed pitching in 2018.
The Cubs absolutely mash right handed pitching and are second in baseball. They have a .179 team ISO, .314 BABIP and wRC+ of 119. They also strike out 19.2 percent of the time with an 10 percent walk rate against right handed pitching.
The Cubs bullpen has thrown less than 100 pitches over the past three days. The Mets bullpen has thrown 135 pitches. The Cubs have the edge here.
Play the Cubs on the money line tonight.
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Good luck tonight.