The Philadelphia Phillies visit the San Francisco Giants tonight. Andrew Suarez is on the bump for the Giants and Vince Velasquez pitches for the Phillies.
The Giants are -118 on the money line, the Phillies are the underdog at -102 and the total currently sits at eight runs.
The Giants are 1-6 when Suarez takes the bump and 0-3 at home. At home this season Suarez has a 4.91 ERA with a 3.27 xFIP. Suarez walks less than one and coughs up nearly two bombs per nine innings pitched. Hitters have a .255 BABIP and a 24.3 percent strikeout rate against Suarez when he pitches in At&T Park.
The Phillies are 5-6 this season when Pivetta takes the hill and 3-3 when Velasquez starts on the road. Velasquez has a 3.09 ERA with a 3.94 xFIP in 32.1 innings on the road. Velasquez has a 3.34 walk rate and allows a measly .56 home runs per nine innings pitched.
The Giants are the second best offense in baseball against right handed pitching. The Giants boast a .153 ISO, .340 BABIP and wRC+ of 109 at home this season against right handed pitching. The Giants also have a 23 percent strikeout rate with a 7.3 percent walk rate.
The Phillies are a bottom five offense against left handed pitching this season. The Phillies have a .160 ISO, .280 BABIP and wRC+ of 85 on the road this season against left handed pitching. The Phillies also have a 20.8 percent strikeout rate and 8.9 percent walk rate.
The Phillies bullpen seems to be a bit fresher tonight. Over the past four games they have 12 innings pitched. The Giants bullpen has pitched 14 innings over the past four games. I give the Phillies bullpen the edge tonight.
Play the Giants on the money line tonight!
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Good luck tonight.